浪漫刺客
特朗普被判有罪成定局?民众压倒性支持定罪!_我的网站

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Chinese astronomers have discovered that the Milky Way is not a simple, smoothly warped disk, but contains widespread "wrinkle-like" structures resembling ripples on a water surface, providing new clues to understanding the galaxy's 3D structure and evolutionary history.
The discovery was made by a research team from the Purple Mountain Observatory (PMO) under the Chinese Academy of Sciences, using data from the "Milky Way Imaging Scroll Painting" (MWISP) survey. The findings were published online titled "Widespread corrugations superimposed on the Galactic warp in the outer CO disk" in the journal Nature Astronomy on August 7.
For decades, astronomers have known that the Milky Way's disk is not perfectly flat. Instead, its outer regions are slightly bent upward on one side and downward on the other - a structure known as a galactic warp.
However, the latest study shows that this large-scale bending is not the whole story. Smaller-scale vertical fluctuations are also embedded within the warped disk, creating a more complicated 3D structure.
"In many illustrations and in the public imagination, the Milky Way looks like a flat vinyl record," Sun Yan, associate researcher at PMO and the first author of the paper, told the Global Times on Tuesday. "In reality, the outer part of the Milky Way is more like a record that has been heated and deformed, with one side lifted and the other side lowered. That is the warp. On top of this large-scale deformation, there are additional smaller waves, which we call corrugations," Sun explained.
Using a more everyday analogy, Sun compared the Milky Way's structure to a sea surface. The warp is like a large swell that changes the overall height of the ocean, while corrugations are smaller waves superimposed on that swell.
"The two structures exist together. In our data analysis, we first removed the large-scale warp model, which allowed us to reveal the smaller wave-like patterns hidden underneath," Sun said.
The research focused on the Milky Way's outer gas disk rather than the more familiar stellar disk. According to Sun, cold molecular gas and stars provide two complementary ways to study the galaxy.
"Molecular gas is a sensitive probe for studying the vertical structure and dynamics of the galactic disk because it is concentrated near the disk plane and responds strongly to disturbances," she said.
Molecular gas is also the raw material for star formation, meaning its distribution is closely connected with the formation of young stars. The researchers traced this gas through carbon monoxide (CO) emission, which can penetrate regions obscured by interstellar dust and provide a different perspective from optical observations of stars.
The breakthrough was made possible by the MWISP survey, conducted using China's 13.7-meter millimeter-wave telescope.
"MWISP can be understood as giving the Milky Way a large-scale medical examination using millimeter-wave observations," Sun said.
Previous CO surveys were limited in sensitivity and coverage, making it difficult to accurately study the distant outer regions of the galaxy. In contrast, the latest study identified more than 30,000 molecular cloud samples, covering about half of the Milky Way's outer disk and extending to a distance of about 26 kiloparsecs from the Galactic center.
With such a large dataset, researchers were able to first establish a model of the overall warp and then separate subtle structures from the background. The newly identified corrugations have radial wavelengths of about 3.9-7.9 kiloparsecs and vertical amplitudes of about 100-200 parsecs.
The study also identified a corrugation structure extending about 40 kiloparsecs in azimuth at a distance of around 12.7 kiloparsecs from the Galactic center. In some spiral arm regions, vertical displacements can reach approximately 200 parsecs.
The researchers believe these large-scale vertical fluctuations are likely related to "bending waves" triggered by external gravitational disturbances, suggesting that the Milky Way might have experienced more complex interactions during its evolutionary history.
Although the newly discovered structures sound dramatic, they do not have any direct impact on Earth or the solar system. "Humans cannot directly sense these corrugations," Sun said. "Their scales reach thousands or even tens of thousands of light-years, and even if these structures are evolving, such changes would not be directly perceptible on human timescales."
The study focuses on the outer disk of the Milky Way and does not include the region around the solar system. "There is currently no evidence that these structures have any observable influence on Earth's environment," Sun said.
Instead, their significance lies in what they reveal about the past. Like geological layers recording Earth's history, these galactic structures preserve traces of the Milky Way's evolutionary journey, the researchers explained.
Researchers said future studies combining more precise motion measurements and numerical simulations could further reveal the origins of these structures and their role in the long-term evolution of the Milky Way.
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近期一项民意调查揭示了美国民众对前总统特朗普在纽约封口费案中所面临重罪指控的普遍态度,结果显示近三分之二的受访者认为特朗普将难逃法律制裁。
《今日美国》与萨福克大学合作开展的最新民调显示,高达65%的美国民众预测特朗普将在涉及34项重罪指控的审判中,至少因部分指控被定罪。

B | 该案件围绕其被控企图通过向成人片女星支付封口费并篡改商业记录以干预2016年大选的指控展开。尽管特朗普矢口否认所有指控,指称此为带有政治目的的“猎巫行动”,但公众的看法似乎并不站在他这一边。
调查中,仅23%的受访者,主要是特朗普的忠实支持者,坚信他会获判无罪,同时批评审判过程不公。
在特朗普的核心支持群体中,即他的“让美国再次伟大”(MAGA) 粉丝中,意见出现了分裂:44%的人预测会有至少部分罪名成立,而43%的人则坚信他能全身而退,免于任何罪责。
相比之下,现任总统乔·拜登的支持者们立场鲜明,86%的人认为特朗普会在封口费案中被至少判定一项罪名成立,而持相反意见的仅有7%。
综合来看,民意调查数据描绘了这样的预期分布:15%的人认为特朗普会因所有指控被定罪,50%的人预测部分定罪,而23%的人则认为他能免于任何罪名。

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然而,最终裁决权握在听取证词的12位陪审员手中,特朗普本人则亲自出席了曼哈顿的庭审。

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特朗普对审判表示反对,指责是拜登及其纽约民主党同僚炮制的“虚假”指控。他还因违反法庭禁令,发表可能影响陪审团的煽动性言论,被法官胡安·梅尔坎裁定蔑视法庭。梅尔坎近期警告,如特朗普再次违规,将面临监禁风险。

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对于审判公正性的看法,调查参与者中44%认为不公,39%则认为公正,独立选民在此问题上则呈现37%对37%的均势。
即便是那些预测特朗普将被定罪的人群中,也有一部分担忧这可能会反向助力特朗普的政治生涯,激发其支持者的斗志。一位来自纽约的76岁民主党人斯蒂芬·东布罗夫斯基对《今日美国》表示:“这只会让他的支持者更加团结,他们会把这看作是对特朗普的迫害,进而更加坚定地支持他。我不认为这会让他失去任何支持。

F | ”
本次民调通过电话访问了1000名注册选民,时间为4月30日至5月3日,抽样误差约为正负3.1个百分点。
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